Bitcoin Could Crash to $24K If Stock Market Falls 50%, Analyst Warns

Could Bitcoin lose more than half its value? One analyst thinks it's possible — but only if the stock market takes a huge tumble first.

Technical analyst Jesse Olson warns that Bitcoin (BTC) — the world's largest cryptocurrency — could fall by over 60% to under $24,000 in 2026. This would only happen in a worst-case scenario: a major US stock market crash of 50% or more.

Olson used a special chart tool that tracks Bitcoin's average price over time, weighted by how much trading happened (called VWAP, or volume-weighted average price). His chart points to a possible "support level" (a price floor where buyers usually step in) at $23,980.

Why are some experts worried about a stock crash? Several well-known investors believe the stock market is in a dangerous bubble (when prices rise far above what assets are really worth, often before a sharp fall):

• Jeremy Grantham (a famous investor) calls the current AI stock boom a major speculative bubble.
• Michael Burry (made famous by the movie *The Big Short*) compares today's rally to the dot-com crash of the early 2000s.
• Economist Gary Shilling has also warned of a possible recession and market crash.

• Weak ETF flows — Bitcoin ETFs (funds that let people invest in Bitcoin through the stock market) are seeing money pulled out rather than added.
• Negative Coinbase premium — a sign that US buyers are less eager to buy Bitcoin than buyers elsewhere.

The bottom line: This $24,000 figure is a worst-case prediction, not a guarantee. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades around $64,000. The dramatic drop would only occur if stocks crash hard. Still, the warning is a reminder that crypto and stock markets often move together — when one falls, the other can follow.

This is an AI-generated summary. Read the original article at: https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-price-may-hit-24k-if-us-stock-market-crashes-by-50-analyst-warns?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss