Smart computer programs are finding ways to make instant profits in online betting markets by moving faster than humans.
Image source: CoinTelegraph
Imagine a marketplace where people bet on future events - like who will win an election or whether it will rain tomorrow. These are called prediction markets, and they're becoming a playground for super-fast computer programs.
What's Happening?
Smart computer programs (called AI agents) are scanning thousands of betting markets every second, looking for quick ways to make money. They do this through something called arbitrage (buying low in one place and selling high in another, almost instantly).
Here's how it works: • When betting odds don't add up correctly (like 60% + 50% = 110% instead of 100%), these programs instantly spot the error • They place bets to profit from these mistakes before humans even notice • Some programs make money by betting on obvious outcomes milliseconds after news breaks
The Numbers Are Big
Researchers found that about $40 million has already been made from these quick trades on Polymarket, a popular betting platform. The programs work so fast that humans can't compete - they check hundreds of markets per second.
Why This Matters
While these AI programs can make markets more efficient, experts worry they could also manipulate prices. For example, a program with lots of money could place huge bets to sway market opinions, just like a French trader who bet $45 million on Donald Trump winning an election.
As these AI programs become smarter and faster, prediction markets may need new rules to ensure fair play for human traders. The future of betting might be dominated by machines competing against each other in milliseconds.
This is an AI-generated summary. Read the original article at: https://cointelegraph.com/news/ai-agents-can-reshape-arbitrage-prediction-markets?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound